56 deaths due to Covid-19 and 29,612 new coronavirus infections reported in 24 hours in the UK. 1,003 deaths in 7 days โ€“ on average 143 deaths each day โ€“ equivalent to 52,299 deaths annually. Once more the virus has us guessing what the future holds, now that schools have returned with fewer mitigations in place than before.


First published in September 2021.









๐Ÿ“† #TodayInCOVID
Summary 19-Sep-2021


๐Ÿฆ  CASES
โ–ช 29,612 in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 207,368 in 7 days โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 949,076 in 28 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 309.1 per 100k โ†—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ HOSPITAL
โ–ช 932 admissions in 24h โ†”๏ธ
โ–ช 6,627 in 7 days โ†”๏ธ
โ–ช 8,068 patients โ†”๏ธ
โ–ช 1,020 in ICU beds โ†”๏ธ

๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ DEATHS
โ–ช 56 in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 1,003 in 7 days โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 3,563 in 28 days โ†—๏ธ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’‰ VACCINATION
โ–ช 44.4m received two doses
โ–ช 66.23% of the UK population received two doses

ยฎ๏ธ 0.9 โ€“ 1.1 in England โ†”๏ธ

LABELS:
โ†—๏ธ Increasing | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged








Todayโ€™s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 56 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with a further 29,612 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 207,368, while in the last 28 days 949,076 infections have been reported.
  • 1,003 deaths due to coronavirus have [for the second day running] been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 143 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the โ€œnew normalโ€ for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 52,299 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death? The vaccination programme has had a very positive impact, but what will bring down the level of infections given where we now are?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 932 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 14 September 2021.
  • 8,068 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 16 September 2021.
  • 1,020 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 16 September 2021 โ€“ all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 598 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain.
  • 560 days since the first reported death.
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 7.4 million people (7,429,746 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • The virus is responsible for at least 135,203 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 157,669 deaths in total, where the deceased personโ€™s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 3 September 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 โ€“ each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

For more stories like this, sign up to our FREE Briefings today.







  • New rules for travelling or returning to England โ€“ ENGLAND

- New international travel system from 4 Oct: red list and rest of world.
- Changes to rules for fully vaccinated travellers coming from non-red list countries.
- 8 destinations removed from the red list, including Turkey and Pakistan.

  • Autumn and winter plan 2021 โ€“ ENGLAND

The government has set out its COVID-19 autumn and winter plan.

  • First dose vaccinations for young people โ€“ UK WIDE

Young people aged 12 to 15 will soon be offered a first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.

  • Booster vaccine dose for people most at risk from COVID-19 โ€“ UK WIDE

People aged 50 years and over, care home residents, frontline health and social care workers, and those aged 16 to 49 years with specific underlying health conditions will be offered a booster vaccine dose.






Pixabay


  • Schools must prepare for protests against children jab

Heads of secondary schools have been told they should prepare for protests as children aged 12-15 get vaccinated from this week. They should contact the police if they believe there will be โ€œdisruptive activityโ€ around the vaccinationsโ€™ rollout in schools.

โ€œIn the event of a protest or disruptive activity outside a school, or if schools know a protest is planned, they should alert the SAIS provider, Local Authority and police contacts to discuss the best way to manage the situation.โ€

The government explains that some schools have received campaign letters and emails with misinformation about the vaccine. Some antivaxx campaigners were spotted last week distributing leaflets to parents and children outside school gates.

Teachers have been advised not to engage directly with misinformation.






Cabinet meeting. | Number 10


  • Stark facts today

Infections, hospitalisations, deaths: ALL higher than this time last year.

- 56 deaths (in 24 hrs)
- 3,563 deaths (in 28 days)
- 8,068 in hospital (as of 16/9)
- Foreign holidays present greater risks as, vaccinated or not, the virus can travel too.

What is the government doing?

  • What we should not accept!

- An NHS in crisis every summer, let alone every winter.
- Government pandemic planning that fails to provide adequate PPE to protect patient facing staff from illness and death.
- A nation bereft of public health staff and facilities.

  • Rationing medical care?

Rationing medical care, one of the most feared scenarios of the pandemic, has become a reality in a few parts of the United States as coronavirus infections remain at surge levels. Idaho state officials have just announced the extraordinary step of activating crisis standards of care.


Read more comments like this... Sign up to [the brief] today.













COVID vaccine boosters โ€“ Who will receive them and why are they being given?
At this point in the pandemic, we ought to be able to both offer boosters to the most vulnerable ahead of the winter and increase the pace of vaccine rollout across the world.
To mask or not to mask? Opinion split on London underground
Commuters explain their reasons for not covering up
COVID winter plan: UK blueprint doesnโ€™t go far enough.
Without an adequate plan, the UK will be stuck in a cycle of rising deaths and measures introduced too late to counter them.
Covid-19 and the new merchants of doubt - The BMJ
How best can scientists push back against science denialist campaigns? David Gorski and Gavin Yamey suggest some evidence based strategies On 9 April 2021, Open Democracy reported that Oxford University [...]More...
Chris Rock says he has Covid and tells fans โ€˜trust me, you donโ€™t want thisโ€™
Chris Rock has revealed that he has tested positive for coronavirus and the comedian urged his fans to get vaccinated as โ€˜you donโ€™t want thisโ€™

Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.
Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






๐Ÿงฌ Variants News (Sequencing as of 19 September 2021)

#DeltaAY4

๐Ÿ“ˆ 88,213 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
โ†—๏ธ 75.94% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaVariant

๐Ÿ“ˆ 17,400
โ†˜๏ธ 14.98%

#DeltaAY5

๐Ÿ“ˆ 3,823
โ†˜๏ธ 3.31%


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %





Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






๐Ÿ“ˆ UK COVID-19 data (reported on 19 September 2021)

CASES ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“‰ 29,612 in 24h
โ†—๏ธ +1.5% vs last week
๐Ÿ“ˆ 207,368 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -17.7%
๐Ÿ“‰ 949,076 in 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ -2.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 309.1 per 100k
โ†˜๏ธ -17.7%

Kingโ€™s College ESTIMATE ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“‰ 44,205 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“ˆ 932 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -14.8%
๐Ÿ“‰ 6,627 in 7 days โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -4.7%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“‰ 8,068 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -0.7%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS ๐Ÿ›๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 1,020 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -2.9%

DEATHS ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 56 in 24h
โ†”๏ธ +0.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 1,003 in 7 days
โ†—๏ธ +3.3%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 3,563 in 28 days โ€“ Highest since 28 March
โ†—๏ธ +9.7%


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โธ๏ธ Unchanged figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %



LAST 28 DAYS ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  949,076 new cases
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 3,563 deaths โ€“ Highest 28-day total since 28 March


DAYS SINCE ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  598 days since the first reported UK case
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 562 days since the first reported UK death


TOTALS ๐Ÿงฎ
๐Ÿฆ  7,429,746 positive cases so far to date (recorded) โ€“ Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 135,203 deaths so far โ€“ Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 157,669 total deaths โ€“ Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causesโ€“ Registered up to Friday 3 September 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data โ€“ Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 19 September 2021.






๐Ÿ’‰ Vaccination UK (up to and including 18 September 2021)

๐Ÿ’‰48,573,881 first doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 91.84% of UK adults (aged 18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 89.37% of UK population (aged 16+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 72.41% of total UK population

๐Ÿ’‰44,428,209 second doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 84.00% of UK adults (aged 18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 81.74% of UK population (aged 16+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 66.23% of total UK population

Estimates suggest that around 12 million children in the UK โ€“ aged 15 and below โ€“ remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 18 September 2021.


In summary, as of 18 September 2021:

  • 66.23% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 81.74% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 84.00% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses)

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

โ— Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
โ— Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
โ— Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
โ— Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source โ–ช ONS)






โ–  Estimated ยฎ๏ธ number: (report as of 17 September 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.9 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -1% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.9 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 9 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -1% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 1% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

โ–  Population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, the percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 remained high in England, but the trend is uncertain. In Wales and Scotland, the percentage of people testing positive continued to increase, while in Northern Ireland, the percentage of people testing positive decreased.






โ–  Stringency Index:

The Stringency Index records the strictness of government policies across the world. It is a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics: school closures, workplace closures, cancellation of public events, restrictions on public gatherings, closures of public transport, stay-at-home requirements, public information campaigns, restrictions on internal movements, and international travel controls.











๐Ÿ“ฐ #COVID19 in #TomorrowsPapersToday

Read more front pages every day in PMP Magazine.









๐Ÿ“š Data Sources:








๐Ÿ“ˆ Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

๐Ÿงฌ Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

๐Ÿฆ  Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

๐Ÿ—ƒ๏ธ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

๐Ÿงฎ Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




โ€” AUTHORS โ€”

โ–ซ Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
โ–ซ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


GET THEM INVOLVED: