First published in September 2021.









๐Ÿ“† #TodayInCOVID
Summary 20-Sep-2021


๐Ÿฆ  CASES
โ–ช 36,100 in 24h โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 212,643 in 7 days โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 953,262 in 28 days โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 317 per 100k โ†—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ HOSPITAL
โ–ช 930 admissions in 24h โ†”๏ธ
โ–ช 6,626 in 7 days โ†”๏ธ
โ–ช 7,847 patients โ†”๏ธ
โ–ช 1,011 in ICU beds โ†”๏ธ

๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ DEATHS
โ–ช 49 in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 991 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 3,572 in 28 days โ†—๏ธ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’‰ VACCINATION
โ–ช 44.4m received two doses
โ–ช 66.29% of the UK population received two doses

ยฎ๏ธ 0.9 โ€“ 1.1 in England โ†”๏ธ

LABELS:
โ†—๏ธ Increasing | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged








Todayโ€™s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 49 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with a further 36,100 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 212,643, while in the last 28 days 953,262 infections have been reported.
  • 991 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 142 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the โ€œnew normalโ€ for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 51,674 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death? The vaccination programme has had a very positive impact, but what will bring down the level of infections given where we now are?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 930 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 14 September 2021.
  • 7,847 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 17 September 2021.
  • 1,011 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 17 September 2021 โ€“ all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 599 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain.
  • 561 days since the first reported death.
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 7.46 million people (7,465,448 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • The virus is responsible for at least 135,252 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 157,669 deaths in total, where the deceased personโ€™s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 3 September 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 โ€“ each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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  • New rules for travelling or returning to England โ€“ ENGLAND

- New international travel system from 4 Oct: red list and rest of world.
- Changes to rules for fully vaccinated travellers coming from non-red list countries.
- 8 destinations were removed from the red list, including Turkey and Pakistan.

  • Autumn and winter plan 2021 โ€“ ENGLAND

The government has set out its COVID-19 autumn and winter plan.

  • First dose vaccinations for young people โ€“ UK WIDE

Young people aged 12 to 15 will soon be offered a first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.

  • Booster vaccine dose for people most at risk from COVID-19 โ€“ UK WIDE

People aged 50 years and over, care home residents, frontline health and social care workers, and those aged 16 to 49 years with specific underlying health conditions will be offered a booster vaccine dose.






Pixabay


  • COVID-19 case rates highest in deprived and urban areas

Coronavirus case rates in England were highest among people living in the most deprived areas and in urban areas throughout the pandemic, according to an ONS analysis of socio-demographic characteristics of people testing positive for coronavirus from 1 September 2020 to 25 July 2021.

โ€œBy ethnic group, case rates were highest among Pakistani and Bangladeshi groups during the second wave, whereas in the first part of the third wave, the White British group had the highest case rate. This is after accounting for the age structure of different ethnic groups,โ€ the ONS explains.

โ€œIn the second wave, case rates were higher in households from lower socio-economic backgrounds than in more affluent ones. In the third wave, there was little difference between socio-economic groups other than for people who had never worked or were long-term unemployed, who had the lowest rates.โ€







Cabinet meeting. | Number 10


  • Worrying data from vaccine data reporting

Should we be concerned that todayโ€™s data indicated the lowest number of daily vaccinations since vaccine reporting has been presented on the UK Government dashboard?

UK Dashboard

COVID-19 UK VACCINATION DATA: DAILY DOSES UP TO 19 SEPTEMBER 2021


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Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.
Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






๐Ÿงฌ Variants News (Sequencing as of 19 September 2021)

#DeltaAY4

๐Ÿ“ˆ 88,213 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
โ†—๏ธ 75.94% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaVariant

๐Ÿ“ˆ 17,400
โ†˜๏ธ 14.98%

#DeltaAY5

๐Ÿ“ˆ 3,823
โ†˜๏ธ 3.31%


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %





Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






๐Ÿ“ˆ UK COVID-19 data (reported on 20 September 2021)

CASES ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“ˆ 36,100 in 24h โ€“ Highest since 10 September
โ†—๏ธ +17.1% vs last week
๐Ÿ“ˆ 212,643 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -12.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 953,262 in 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ -1.9%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 317.0 per 100k
โ†˜๏ธ -12.0%

Kingโ€™s College ESTIMATE ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“‰ 43,740 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“ˆ 930 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -14.4%
๐Ÿ“‰ 6,626 in 7 days โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -4.8%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“‰ 7,847 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -5.4%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS ๐Ÿ›๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 1,011 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -4.3%

DEATHS ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 49 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -19.7%
๐Ÿ“‰ 991 in 7 days
โ†—๏ธ +0.4%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 3,572 in 28 days โ€“ Highest since 28 March
โ†—๏ธ +8.8%


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โธ๏ธ Unchanged figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %



LAST 28 DAYS ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  953,262 new cases
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 3,572 deaths โ€“ Highest 28-day total since 28 March


DAYS SINCE ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  599 days since the first reported UK case
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 563 days since the first reported UK death


TOTALS ๐Ÿงฎ
๐Ÿฆ  7,465,448 positive cases so far to date (recorded) โ€“ Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 135,252 deaths so far โ€“ Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 157,669 total deaths โ€“ Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causesโ€“ Registered up to Friday 3 September 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data โ€“ Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 20 September 2021.






๐Ÿ’‰ Vaccination UK (up to and including 19 September 2021)

๐Ÿ’‰48,593,019 first doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 91.88% of UK adults (aged 18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 89.40% of UK population (aged 16+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 72.44% of total UK population

๐Ÿ’‰44,466,121 second doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 84.07% of UK adults (aged 18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 81.81% of UK population (aged 16+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 66.29% of total UK population

Estimates suggest that around 12 million children in the UK โ€“ aged 15 and below โ€“ remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 19 September 2021.


In summary, as of 19 September 2021:

  • 66.29% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 81.81% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 84.07% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses)

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

โ— Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
โ— Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
โ— Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
โ— Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source โ–ช ONS)






โ–  Estimated ยฎ๏ธ number: (report as of 17 September 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.9 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -1% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.9 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 9 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -1% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 1% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

โ–  Population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, the percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 remained high in England, but the trend is uncertain. In Wales and Scotland, the percentage of people testing positive continued to increase, while in Northern Ireland, the percentage of people testing positive decreased.






โ–  Stringency Index:

The Stringency Index records the strictness of government policies across the world. It is a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics: school closures, workplace closures, cancellation of public events, restrictions on public gatherings, closures of public transport, stay-at-home requirements, public information campaigns, restrictions on internal movements, and international travel controls.











๐Ÿ“ฐ #COVID19 in #TomorrowsPapersToday

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๐Ÿ“š Data Sources:








๐Ÿ“ˆ Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

๐Ÿงฌ Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

๐Ÿฆ  Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

๐Ÿ—ƒ๏ธ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

๐Ÿงฎ Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




โ€” AUTHORS โ€”

โ–ซ Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
โ–ซ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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