182 new deaths due to Covid-19 and 36,710 new coronavirus infections reported in 24 hours in the UK. 998 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in the last 7 days, i.e. on average 143 deaths on each of those days, equivalent to 52,039 deaths annually. Schools return is presenting more uncertainty.


First published in September 2021.









📆 #TodayInCOVID
Summary 23-Sep-2021


🦠 CASES
36,710 in 24h ↗️
231,241 in 7 days ↗️
951,030 in 28 days ↘️
344.7 per 100k ↗️

🏥 HOSPITAL
714 admissions in 24h ↔️
5,885 in 7 days ↔️
7,588 patients ↘️
943 in ICU beds ↘️

🕯️ DEATHS
182 in 24h ↗️
998 in 7 days ↗️
3,660 in 28 days ↗️️

💉 VACCINATION
44.6m received two doses
66.49% of the UK population received two doses

®️ 0.91.1 in England ↔️

LABELS:
↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing | ↔️ Unchanged








Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 182 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with a further 36,710 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 231,241 while in the last 28 days 951,030 infections have been reported.
  • 998 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 143 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 52,039 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death? The vaccination programme has had a very positive impact, but what will bring down the level of infections given where we now are?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 714* Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 19 September 2021.
  • 7,588* patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 21 September 2021.
  • 943* patients are requiring intensive care support as of 21 September 2021 – all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.

*Still no update to hospital data in England. Because of a major incident with the data collection system used by NHS England to collect daily data.


SO FAR:

  • 602 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020).
  • 566 days since the first reported death (7 March 2020).
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 7.5 million people (7,565,867 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • The virus is responsible for at least 135,803 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 158,664 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 10 September 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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  • New rules for travelling or returning to EnglandENGLAND

New international travel system from 4 Oct: red list and rest of world.

  • Autumn and winter plan 2021 – ENGLAND

The government has set out its COVID-19 autumn and winter plan.






Pixabay


  • School children eligible for free school meals learned less during the lockdowns than those in more prosperous areas.

The Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) analysis of data from the collecting survey app Teacher Tapp showed that teachers at schools with the highest free school meal (FSM) eligibility rates covered less material with remote learners relative to in-school learners throughout the COVID-19 period.

The ONS explains that “free school meals can be used as an indicator of deprivation because they are available to children whose parents receive some benefits or are on low incomes.”

A survey conducted by the National Foundation for Educational Research found that pupils in the most deprived schools were twice as likely as those at the least deprived schools to have little or no access to electronic devices.

Teachers in the most deprived schools also reported only being in regular contact with an average of 50% of their pupils, compared with 67% of pupils in the least deprived schools.






Cabinet meeting. | Number 10


Here we go again, COVID-19 infections among children in England’s schools are rising.

This rise in COVID infections among children has potentially led to the increase in cases affecting people aged 30 to 49, i.e. their parents’ generation.

Secondary school students apparently are just as likely as adults to transmit the virus. The World Health Organisation (WHO) says children over 12 should wear face masks to combat COVID, “under the same conditions as adults, in particular when they cannot guarantee at least a 1-metre distance from others and there is widespread transmission in the area.”

So, is it not time for the government, again, to review its guidance for face coverings with schools now open?

Masks! Distance!

What is the government doing?


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“The government is failing the people” – Experts.
Experts and health professionals on Number 10 sidelining behaviour experts at SAGE, thousands of COVID deaths reported every week, teenagers finally getting vaccinated in England, COVID cases among schoolchildren hitting record peak in England, and England’s new, controversial Covid travel rules.
No, Vaccinated People Are Not ‘Just as Likely’ to Spread the Coronavirus as Unvaccinated People
This has become a common refrain among the cautious—and it’s wrong.
School in Bolton reintroduces masks and other measures after rise in Covid cases
A SCHOOL in Bolton has introduced a range of measures following a recent surge in Covid-19 cases.

Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






🧬 Variants News (Sequencing as of 23 September 2021)

#DeltaAY4

📉 96,659 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 81.49% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaVariant

📈 11,402
↗️ 9.61%

#DeltaAY5

📉 4,418
↘️️ 3.72%


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %





Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






📈 UK COVID-19 data (reported on 23 September 2021)

CASES 🦠
📈 36,710 in 24h – Highest since 10 Sept
↗️ +36.4% vs last week
📈 231,241 in 7 days
↗️ +9.4%
📉 951,030 in 28 days
↘️ -0.8%
📈 344.7 per 100k  – Highest since 10 Sept
↘️ +9.4%

King’s College ESTIMATE 🦠
📈 46,300 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS 🏥
📉 714 in 24h – Unchanged since 19 Sept
↘️ -16.7%
📉 5,885 in 7 days – Unchanged since 19 Sept
↘️ -15.5%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL 🏥
📉 7,588 in 24h
↘️ -9.5%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS 🛏️
📉 943 in 24h
↘️ -11.0%

DEATHS 🕯️
📈 182 in 24h
↗️ +15.2%
📈 998 in 7 days
↗️ +3.5%
📈 3,660 in 28 days – Highest since 27 March
↗️ +6.6%


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ⏸️ Unchanged figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %



LAST 28 DAYS 🗓️

🦠 951,030 new cases
🕯️ 3,660 deaths – Highest 28-day total since 27 March


DAYS SINCE 🗓️

🦠 602 days since the first reported UK case
🕯️ 566 days since the first reported UK death


TOTALS 🧮
🦠 7,565,867 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
🕯️ 135,803 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
🕯️ 158,664 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes– Registered up to Friday 10 September 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 23 September 2021.






💉 Vaccination UK (up to and including 21 September 2021)

💉48,674,154 first doses
📈 92.03% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 89.55% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 72.56% of total UK population

💉44,600,070 second doses
📈 84.33% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 82.06% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 66.49% of total UK population

Approximately 3 million children in the UK aged 12-15 years old are now eligible to be vaccinated.

Estimates suggest that around 9 million children in the UK – aged 12 and below – remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 22 September 2021.


In summary, as of 21 September 2021:

  • 66.42% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 81.97% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 84.24% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses)

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

● Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
● Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
● Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
● Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source ▪ ONS)






Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 17 September 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.9 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -1% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.9 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 9 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -1% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 1% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

Population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, the percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 remained high in England, but the trend is uncertain. In Wales and Scotland, the percentage of people testing positive continued to increase, while in Northern Ireland, the percentage of people testing positive decreased.






Stringency Index:

The Stringency Index records the strictness of government policies across the world. It is a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics: school closures, workplace closures, cancellation of public events, restrictions on public gatherings, closures of public transport, stay-at-home requirements, public information campaigns, restrictions on internal movements, and international travel controls.











📰 #COVID19 in #TomorrowsPapersToday

Read more front pages every day in PMP Magazine.









📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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