33 deaths reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19 and 35,077 new infections. 778 deaths in 7 days, i.e. on average 111 deaths each day, equivalent to 40,567 deaths annually.


First published in October 2021.









๐Ÿ“† #TodayInCOVID
Summary 4-Oct-2021


๐Ÿฆ  CASES
โ–ช 35,077 in 24h โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 239,122 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 934,611 in 28 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 356.5 per 100k โ†˜๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ HOSPITAL
โ–ช 754 admissions in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 5,073 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 6,556 patients โ†˜๏ธ๏ธ
โ–ช 805 in ICU beds โ†˜๏ธ

๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ DEATHS
โ–ช 33 in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 778 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 3,712 in 28 days โ†˜๏ธ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’‰ VACCINATION
โ–ช 44.9m received 2 doses
โ–ช 67.07% of the UK population received 2 doses

ยฎ๏ธ 0.8 โ€“ 1.1 in England โ†—๏ธ

LABELS:
โ†—๏ธ Increasing | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged








Todayโ€™s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 33 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with a further 35,077 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

(Note: 4 October 2021 Official โ€“ Data issue. England deaths within 28 days of positive test affected by delay. Daily counts of deaths in England rely on multiple data sources. Data from one source was delayed on 4 October 2021. This will have a small impact on the total number of deaths reported today. Any additional deaths related to this delay will be included in the numbers published on 5 October 2021.)


  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 239,122 while in the last 28 days 934,611 infections have been reported.
  • 778 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 111 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the โ€œnew normalโ€ for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 40,567 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death? The vaccination programme has had a very positive impact, but what will bring down the level of infections given where we now are?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 754 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 28 September 2021.
  • 6,556 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 01 October 2021.
  • 805 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 01 October 2021 โ€“ all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 613 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020).
  • 577 days since the first reported death (7 March 2020).
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 7.9 million people (7,934,936 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • In this time, the virus has been responsible for at least 136,986 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data also currently indicate there have been 159,716 deaths in total, where the deceased personโ€™s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 17 September 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 โ€“ each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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  • New rules for international travel โ€“ UK WIDE

The traffic light system for travel no longer applies. Instead, there is a single red list and the rest of the world. If youโ€™re travelling to the UK from a non-red list country or territory and are eligible under fully vaccinated rules, you only need to take a test on day 2 after you arrive.

  • Autumn and winter plan 2021 โ€“ ENGLAND

The government has set out its COVID-19 autumn and winter plan.

  • Boosters โ€“ UK WIDE

Booster vaccine doses will be available on the NHS for people most at risk from COVID-19 who have had a second dose of a vaccine at least 6 months ago.

You can book your COVID-19 booster vaccine dose online if you are either:
- a frontline health or social care worker
- aged 50 and over
- aged 16 and over with a health condition that puts you at high risk from COVID-19

If you are not a frontline health or social care worker, please wait to be contacted by the NHS before booking your booster dose.






Conservative Party Conference 2021. | Twitter/@RichardRout


  • 1 million infections in September 2021
  • 3,712 deaths reported in the last 28 days
  • Increase in the number of infections for ages 2 years to school Year 11 in the week ending 25 September 2021
  • Schools and children deserve better
  • Inadequate controls

And what do politicians do? They behave like it is over!!

Conservative Party Conference 2021. | Twitter/@JoePike

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Most people with Covid are presenting cold-like symptoms, warns doctor
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Covid Scotland: 1,760 new coronavirus cases detected
Scotland recorded 1,760 new coronavirus cases in the past 24 hours, according to the latest data.
Worcestershireโ€™s coronavirus cases see weekly rise
THE number of new coronavirus cases recorded in the county increased by almost a quarter in a week.
North Wales area-by-area covid figures as region records more than 800 new cases
There has now been more than 69,000 cases of the virus in North Wales
Anti-vaxxers trying to disrupt Australian rollout by making fake vaccine bookings
Calls to confirm appointments are met with expletives, say GPs, who are concerned for vulnerable patients most in need

Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






๐Ÿงฌ Variants News (Sequencing as of 4 October 2021)

#DeltaAY4

๐Ÿ“ˆ 87,400 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ 80.51% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaVariant

๐Ÿ“ˆ 11,322
โ†—๏ธ 10.43%

#DeltaAY5

๐Ÿ“ˆ 3,822
โ†—๏ธ๏ธ 3.52%


LABELS:
โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %







Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






๐Ÿ“ˆ UK COVID-19 data (reported on 4 October 2021)

CASES ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“ˆ 35,077 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -7.6% vs last week
๐Ÿ“‰ 239,122 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -0.9%
๐Ÿ“‰ 934,611 in 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ -2.6%
๐Ÿ“‰ 360.8 per 100k
โ†—๏ธ +1.1%

Kingโ€™s College ESTIMATE ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“ˆ 64,766 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“‰ 754 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged since 28 Sept
โ†˜๏ธ -4.1%
๐Ÿ“‰ 5,064 in 7 days โ€“ Unchanged since 28 Sept
โ†˜๏ธ -10.3%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“‰ 6,556 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged since 1 Oct
โ†˜๏ธ -5.1%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS ๐Ÿ›๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 805 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged since 1 Oct
โ†˜๏ธ -8.3%

DEATHS ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 33 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -17.5%
๐Ÿ“‰ 778 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -18.6%
๐Ÿ“‰ 3,712 in 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ -0.3%


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โธ๏ธ Unchanged figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %



LAST 28 DAYS ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  934,611 new cases
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 3,712 deaths


DAYS SINCE ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  613 days since the first reported UK case
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 577 days since the first reported UK death


TOTALS ๐Ÿงฎ
๐Ÿฆ  7,934,936 positive cases so far to date (recorded) โ€“ Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 136,986 deaths so far โ€“ Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 159,716 total deaths โ€“ Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causesโ€“ Registered up to Friday 17 September 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data โ€“ Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 4 October 2021.






๐Ÿ’‰ Vaccination UK (up to and including 3 October 2021)

๐Ÿ’‰48,956,859 first doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 85.13% of UK population (aged 12 and above)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 72.98% of total UK population

๐Ÿ’‰44,992,044 second doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 78.24% of UK population (aged 12 and above)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 67.07% of total UK population

(*Note: The vaccination percentages are calculated on the basis that the total population aged 12 and above forms the number eligible in theory for vaccination in that age range. This will be validated and/or amended when the official dashboard confirms the methodology it will use for this calculation.)


Approximately 3 million children in the UK aged 12-15 years old are now eligible to be vaccinated.

Estimates suggest that around 9 million children in the UK โ€“ aged 12 and below โ€“ remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 3 October 2021.


In summary, as of 3 October 2021, it is estimated that:

  • 67.07% of the total UK population (of all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 85.13% of the UK population (aged 12 and above) had received one dose of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • This data will be cross-referenced with the official data from the UK dashboard when this has been reported.

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

โ— Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
โ— Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
โ— Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
โ— Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source โ–ช ONS)






โ–  Estimated ยฎ๏ธ number: (report as of 1 October 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.8 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -3% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.8 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -3% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 3% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

โ–  Population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, infection rates increased in England and Wales but decreased in Scotland in the week ending 25 September 2021. The trend was uncertain in Northern Ireland.






โ–  Stringency Index:

The Stringency Index records the strictness of government policies across the world. It is a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics: school closures, workplace closures, cancellation of public events, restrictions on public gatherings, closures of public transport, stay-at-home requirements, public information campaigns, restrictions on internal movements, and international travel controls.




PMP Magazine







๐Ÿ“š Data Sources:








๐Ÿ“ˆ Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

๐Ÿงฌ Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

๐Ÿฆ  Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

๐Ÿ—ƒ๏ธ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

๐Ÿงฎ Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




โ€” AUTHORS โ€”

โ–ซ Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
โ–ซ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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