Another dreadful milestone of note today: 160,824 deaths of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday, 24 September 2021.

First published in October 2021.

๐Ÿ“† #TodayInCOVID
Summary 5-Oct-2021

โ–ช 33,869 in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 238,465 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 930,991 in 28 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 355.5 per 100k โ†˜๏ธ

โ–ช 642 admissions in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 4,932 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 6,747 patients โ†—๏ธ๏ธ
โ–ช 769 in ICU beds โ†˜๏ธ

๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ DEATHS
โ–ช 166 in 24h โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 777 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 3,669 in 28 days โ†˜๏ธ๏ธ

โ–ช 45.0m received 2 doses
โ–ช 67.11% of the UK population received 2 doses

ยฎ๏ธ 0.8 โ€“ 1.1 in England โ†—๏ธ

โ†—๏ธ Increasing | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged

Todayโ€™s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 166 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with a further 33,869 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 238,465 while in the last 28 days 930,991 infections have been reported.
  • 777 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 111 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the โ€œnew normalโ€ for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 40,515 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death? The vaccination programme has had a very positive impact, but what will bring down the level of infections given where we now are?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 642 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 1 October 2021.
  • 6,747 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 4 October 2021.
  • 769 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 4 October 2021 โ€“ all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.


  • 614 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020).
  • 578 days since the first reported death (7 March 2020).
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 7.9 million people (7,967,985 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • In this time, the virus has been responsible for at least 137,152 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data also currently indicate there have been 160,824 ย deaths in total, where the deceased personโ€™s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 24 September 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 โ€“ each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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  • New rules for international travel โ€“ UK WIDE

The traffic light system for travel no longer applies. Instead, there is a single red list and the rest of the world. If youโ€™re travelling to the UK from a non-red list country or territory and are eligible under fully vaccinated rules, you only need to take a test on day 2 after you arrive.

  • Autumn and winter plan 2021 โ€“ ENGLAND

The government has set out its COVID-19 autumn and winter plan.

  • Boosters โ€“ UK WIDE

Booster vaccine doses will be available on the NHS for people most at risk from COVID-19 who have had a second dose of a vaccine at least 6 months ago.

You can book your COVID-19 booster vaccine dose online if you are either:
- a frontline health or social care worker
- aged 50 and over
- aged 16 and over with a health condition that puts you at high risk from COVID-19

If you are not a frontline health or social care worker, please wait to be contacted by the NHS before booking your booster dose.


  • UK COVID-19 deaths rise for fifteenth consecutive week

โ€œThe number of deaths from all causes in the UK in the week ending 24 September 2021 was 12,247, 16.0% above the average for the corresponding week in 2015 to 2019,โ€ according to the ONS.

โ€œDeaths were above the five-year average in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

โ€œOf all deaths registered in the week to 24 September, 1,108 involved COVID-19, 59 more than in the previous week, the highest number since the week ending 12 March 2021. Deaths involving COVID-19 accounted for around 1 in 11 deaths (9.0%).โ€

UK deaths involving COVID-19 rose in the week to 24 September

Number of deaths registered by week, UK, week ending 8 January 2021 to week ending 24 September 2021

England urged to step up vaccinations to avoid winter Covid surge
Prof Neil Ferguson calls for booster rollout and teenagersโ€™ second jabs to be accelerated to ease NHS pressure
Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness drops after 6 months, study shows
The effectiveness of the Pfizer Inc /BioNTech SE vaccine in preventing infection by the coronavirus dropped to 47% from 88% six months after the second dose, according to data published on Monday that U.S. health agencies considered when deciding on the need for booster shots.
Wales introduces compulsory Covid pass for nightclubs and sports events
Welsh parliament votes by 28 to 27 on entry pass promoted by first minister Mark Drakeford to drive down infection rates and help NHS

Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.

๐Ÿงฌ Variants News (Sequencing as of 4 October 2021)


๐Ÿ“ˆ 87,400 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ 80.51% of all sequenced cases


๐Ÿ“ˆ 11,322
โ†—๏ธ 10.43%


๐Ÿ“ˆ 3,822
โ†—๏ธ๏ธ 3.52%

โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %

Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.

๐Ÿ“ˆ UK COVID-19 data (reported on 5 October 2021)

๐Ÿ“‰ 33,869 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -1.9% vs last week
๐Ÿ“‰ 238,465 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -2.3%
๐Ÿ“‰ 930,991 in 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ -3.2%
๐Ÿ“‰ 355.5 per 100k
โ†˜๏ธ -2.3%

Kingโ€™s College ESTIMATE ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“ˆ 65,774 daily cases

๐Ÿ“‰ 642 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged since 1 Oct
โ†˜๏ธ -11.2%
๐Ÿ“‰ 4,932 in 7 days โ€“ Unchanged since 1 Oct
โ†˜๏ธ -7.1%

๐Ÿ“ˆ 6,747 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -4.1%

๐Ÿ“‰ 769 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -7.5%

DEATHS ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ
๐Ÿ“ˆ 166 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -0.6%
๐Ÿ“‰ 777 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -15.5%
๐Ÿ“‰ 3,669 in 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ -4.5%

๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โธ๏ธ Unchanged figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %

LAST 28 DAYS ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  930,991 new cases
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 3,669 deaths


๐Ÿฆ  614 days since the first reported UK case
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 578 days since the first reported UK death

๐Ÿฆ  7,967,985 positive cases so far to date (recorded) โ€“ Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 137,152 deaths so far โ€“ Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 160,824 total deaths โ€“ Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causesโ€“ Registered up to Friday 24 September 2021

7-Day UK COVID-19 Data โ€“ Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 5 October 2021.

๐Ÿ’‰ Vaccination UK (up to and including 4 October 2021)

๐Ÿ’‰48,994,530 first doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 85.20% of UK population (aged 12 and above)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 73.04% of total UK population

๐Ÿ’‰45,021,381 second doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 78.29% of UK population (aged 12 and above)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 67.11% of total UK population

(*Note: The vaccination percentages are calculated on the basis that the total population aged 12 and above forms the number eligible in theory for vaccination in that age range. This will be validated and/or amended when the official dashboard confirms the methodology it will use for this calculation.)

Approximately 3 million children in the UK aged 12-15 years old are now eligible to be vaccinated.

Estimates suggest that around 9 million children in the UK โ€“ aged 12 and below โ€“ remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 4 October 2021.

In summary, as of 4 October 2021, it is estimated that:

  • 67.11% of the total UK population (of all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 85.20% of the UK population (aged 12 and above) had received one dose of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • This data will be cross-referenced with the official data from the UK dashboard when this has been reported.

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

โ— Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
โ— Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
โ— Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
โ— Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source โ–ช ONS)

โ–  Estimated ยฎ๏ธ number: (report as of 1 October 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.8 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -3% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.8 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -3% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 3% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

โ–  Population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, infection rates increased in England and Wales but decreased in Scotland in the week ending 25 September 2021. The trend was uncertain in Northern Ireland.

โ–  Stringency Index:

The Stringency Index records the strictness of government policies across the world. It is a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics: school closures, workplace closures, cancellation of public events, restrictions on public gatherings, closures of public transport, stay-at-home requirements, public information campaigns, restrictions on internal movements, and international travel controls.

PMP Magazine

๐Ÿ“š Data Sources:

๐Ÿ“ˆ Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid:

๐Ÿงฌ Full #Variants Sequencing Data:

๐Ÿฆ  Everything #COVID19:

๐Ÿ—ƒ๏ธ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

๐Ÿงฎ Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS

โ€” AUTHORS โ€”

โ–ซ Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
โ–ซ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.