Today’s data in the UK show 181 new deaths in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19 and 38,520 new infections – the 63rd day in a row that infections have been over 25,000. In the same period, there have been over 2.1 million reported infections and over 7,400 deaths.


First published in October 2021.









📆 #TodayInCOVID
Summary 12-Oct-2021


🦠 CASES
▪ 38,520 in 24h ↘️
▪ 270,585 in 7 days ↗️
▪ 970,793 in 28 days ↗️
▪ 403.4 per 100k ↗️

🏥 HOSPITAL
▪ 766 admissions in 24h ↘️
▪ 5,327 in 7 days ↗️
▪ 7,003 patients ↗️
▪ 747 in ICU beds ↘️

🕯️ DEATHS
▪ 181 in 24h ↗️
▪ 795 in 7 days ↗️
▪ 3,501 in 28 days ↘️️

💉 VACCINATION
▪ 45.2m received 2 doses
▪ 67.40% of the UK population received 2 doses
▪ 257,442 first doses for 12-15 yo in England
▪ 9.0% of 12-15 yo received 1 dose
▪ 95,095 first doses for 12-15 yo in Scotland
▪ 40.6% of 12-15 yo received 1 dose

🌡️ LONG COVID
▪ 1,100,000 estimated cases ↗️

LABELS:
↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing | ↔️ Unchanged



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  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 270,585 while in the last 28 days 970,793 infections have been reported.
  • 795 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 114 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 41,454 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death? The vaccination programme has had a very positive impact, but what will bring down the level of infections given where we now are?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 766 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 8 October 2021.
  • 7,003 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 11 October 2021.
  • 747 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 11 October 2021 – all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.


SO FAR:

  • 621 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020).
  • 585 days since the first reported death (7 March 2020).
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 8 million people (8,231,437 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • In this time, the virus has been responsible for at least 137,944 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data also currently indicate there have been 161,798 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 01 October 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.


(Source: UK Health Security Agency)







  • New rules for international travel – ENGLAND

47 countries and territories will be removed from the red list from 11 October. 37 new countries and territories will be added to the list of countries with recognised proof of full vaccination for travel to England.

  • Autumn and winter plan 2021 – ENGLAND

The government has set out its COVID-19 autumn and winter plan.

  • Vaccine certification required for late-night venues and large events – SCOTLAND

From 1 October, you need to show proof that you are fully vaccinated using either the NHS Scotland COVID Status app, a paper copy of your vaccination record, or proof that you’re exempt, to enter late-night venues and large events. (Find out more on GOV.SCOT.)

  • NHS COVID Pass required for nightclubs and large events – WALES

From 11 October, you need to show proof that you are fully vaccinated or have a recent negative rapid lateral flow test using NHS COVID Pass to attend nightclubs and large events. (Find out more on GOV.WALES.)

  • Boosters – UK WIDE

Booster vaccine doses will be available on the NHS for people most at risk from COVID-19 who have had a second dose of a vaccine at least 6 months ago.

You can book your COVID-19 booster vaccine dose online if you are either:
- a frontline health or social care worker
- aged 50 and over
- aged 16 and over with a health condition that puts you at high risk from COVID-19

If you are not a frontline health or social care worker, please wait to be contacted by the NHS before booking your booster dose.


(Source: Gov.uk)












COVID-19: ‘A slap in the face’ - Families of pandemic victims attack MPs’ report and call for judge-led inquiry
A support group for relatives says the report “is an attempt to ignore and gaslight bereaved families” and that a more formal, judge-led inquiry is vital.
“We are now storing up trouble for the future” – Experts.
Experts and health professionals on the rise in infections in secondary-age children, on whether the worst effects of the pandemic may not just be over yet, and on the lack of face coverings at the Conservative Party Conference.
Covid response ‘one of UK’s worst ever public health failures’
Early handling and belief in ‘herd immunity’ led to more deaths, Commons inquiry finds
UK’s high Covid case rates buck trend as western Europe outperforms east
Slower vaccination rates in east lead to dramatic surge in cases, while UK remains outlier in west
French study of over 22m people finds vaccines cut severe Covid risk by 90%
Largest study of its kind also finds vaccines appear to protect against worst effects of Delta variant

Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






🧬 Variants News (COG-UK sequencing)








(Source: COG-UK)




🧬 Variants News (UKHSA genomically confirmed case numbers)








(Source: UK Health Security Agency)


All the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






📈 UK COVID-19 data (reported on 12 October 2021)

CASES 🦠
📉 38,520 in 24h
↗️ +13.7% vs last week
📈 270,585 in 7 days – Highest since 9 Sept
↗️ +13.5%
📈 970,793 in 28 days – Highest since 14 Sept
↗️ +4.3%

CASE RATE 🦠
📈 403.4 per 100k – Highest since 9 Sept
↗️ +13.5%

King’s College ESTIMATE 🦠
📈 69,860 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS 🏥 – Latest update: 8 Oct
📉 766 in 24h
↗️ +11.5%
📈 5,327 in 7 days – Highest since 24 Sept
↗️ +5.5%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL 🏥
📈 7,003 in 24h – Highest since 28 Sept
↗️ +3.2%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS 🛏️
📈 747 in 24h
↘️ -2.9%

DEATHS 🕯️
📈 181 in 24h – Highest since 23 Sept
↗️ +9.0%
📈 795 in 7 days – Highest since 2 Oct
↗️ +2.3%
📉 3,501 in 28 days
↘️ -4.6%


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ⏸️ Unchanged figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %



LAST 28 DAYS 🗓️

🦠 970,793 new cases
🕯️ 3,501 deaths


DAYS SINCE 🗓️

🦠 621 days since the first reported UK case
🕯️ 585 days since the first reported UK death


TOTALS 🧮
🦠 8,231,437 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
🕯️ 137,944 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
🕯️ 161,798 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes– Registered up to Friday 1 October 2021


(Source: UK Health Security Agency)


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 12 October 2021.






💉 Vaccination UK (up to and including 11 October 2021)

💉49,216,092 first doses
📈 85.58% of UK population (aged 12+)
📈 73.37% of total UK population

💉45,212,813 second doses
📈 78.62% of UK population (aged 12+)
📈 67.40% of total UK population


(Source: UK Health Security Agency)

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 11 October 2021.


💉 Vaccination CHILDREN AGED 12-15

ENGLAND:
💉257,442 first doses
📈 9.0% of children aged 12-15

💉6,495 second doses
📈 0.2% of children aged 12-15

SCOTLAND:
💉95,095 first doses
📈 40.6% of children aged 12-15

(Note: 2,851,400 children in England aged 12-15 years old are now eligible to be vaccinated. 8,549,198 children in England – aged 12 and below – remain unvaccinated.)





In summary, as of the latest reported vaccination data, it is estimated that:

  • 67.40% of the total UK population (of all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 85.58% of the UK population (aged 12 and above) had received one dose of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

This data has been cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

● Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
● Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
● Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
● Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source ▪ ONS)







■ Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 8 October 2021)

  • Latest R range for England: 0.9 to 1.1 📈
  • Latest R range for Wales: 0.8 to 1.1 📉
  • Latest R range for Scotland: 0.7 to 1.0 ↔️️
  • Latest R range for Northern Ireland: 0.95 to 1.05 📈

These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↔️ Unchanged figure





■ Population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, COVID-19 infections increased in England and decreased in Scotland and Northern Ireland. In the same week, the trend was uncertain in Wales.


(Source: ONS)





■ Stringency Index:

The Stringency Index records the strictness of government policies across the world. It is a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics: school closures, workplace closures, cancellation of public events, restrictions on public gatherings, closures of public transport, stay-at-home requirements, public information campaigns, restrictions on internal movements, and international travel controls.









📰 #COVID19 in #TomorrowsPapersToday

Read more front pages every day in PMP Magazine.


PMP Magazine







📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

▫ Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
▫ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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